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CheckWeather USDanville
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Danville weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Danville's high today between 91° and 97°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks rain around 81°, with a 72% chance of rain.

94°71°
81°70°
84°66°
87°61°
91°64°
95°69°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Mainly clear
Feels 82° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 74%
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Clear
Feels 77° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 59%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Light drizzle
Feels 79° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 81%

Latest for Danville: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 77° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 76° Clear · European (ECMWF): 75° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Danville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
94° 71°
±6°
Tomorrow
Rain
81° 70°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
84° 66°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
87° 61°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
91° 64°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
95° 69°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
91° 70°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
89° 68°
±7°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
91° 69°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
92° 71°
±14°
Tue
Light drizzle
86° 67°
±20°
Wed
Showers
80° 62°
±5°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
74° 60°
±15°
Fri
Showers
73° 61°
±17°

Danville, VA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Danville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Danville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
52°
35°
Feb
57°
38°
Mar
63°
41°
Apr
73°
49°
May
77°
57°
Jun
86°
63°
Jul
90°
70°
Aug
87°
67°
Sep
80°
62°
Oct
72°
51°
Nov
62°
42°
Dec
53°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Danville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
54
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F95±1.7 mph042% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°91° to 97°±50%36% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±4°79° to 83°±42%30% to 72% chance
Mon±3°83° to 85°±16%6% to 22% chance
Tue±4°85° to 89°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±2°90° to 92°±17%1% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Danville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:40
Daylight
12h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Danville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Danville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Danville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Danville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Danville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Danville (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 54. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Danville?
July is typically the warmest month in Danville, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Danville get?
The coldest month in Danville is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Danville get?
Danville sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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