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CheckWeather USSterling

Sterling weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Sterling and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Sterling, VA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 31°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Sterling right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Sterling climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
47°
31°
Feb
52°
32°
Mar
57°
36°
Apr
70°
47°
May
75°
54°
Jun
85°
62°
Jul
90°
69°
Aug
87°
67°
Sep
79°
61°
Oct
70°
49°
Nov
57°
40°
Dec
48°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sterling?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
74±2.6°F96±1.4 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Sterling today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Sterling today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sterling today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Sterling and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sterling?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sterling (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sterling?
July is typically the warmest month in Sterling, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Sterling get?
The coldest month in Sterling is January, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Sterling get?
Sterling sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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