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CheckWeather USRoanoke
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Roanoke weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 91° in Roanoke today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 80°, with a 96% chance of rain.

91°71°
80°69°
81°64°
84°60°
92°62°
92°69°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
92°
Light drizzle
Today 92°·Low 73°·Rain 29%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Cloudy
Today 91°·Low 69°·Rain 29%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Cloudy
Today 91°·Low 71°·Rain 25%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Roanoke and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
91° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
80° 69°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
81° 64°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
84° 60°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
92° 62°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
92° 69°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
88° 70°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
85° 66°
±9°
Sun
Mostly clear
89° 68°
±10°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
91° 68°
±11°
Tue
Drizzle
85° 64°
±18°
Wed
Heavy showers
77° 63°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
74° 60°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
71° 60°
±14°

Roanoke, VA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Roanoke right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Roanoke climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
48°
32°
Feb
56°
34°
Mar
61°
38°
Apr
71°
46°
May
76°
55°
Jun
84°
61°
Jul
90°
68°
Aug
87°
65°
Sep
79°
59°
Oct
72°
48°
Nov
60°
40°
Dec
50°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Roanoke?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.3 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
62
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.9 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°91° to 92°±4%25% to 29% chance
Tomorrow±7°76° to 83°±60%36% to 96% chance
Mon±4°79° to 83°±25%7% to 32% chance
Tue±4°83° to 87°±5%3% to 8% chance
Wed±3°90° to 93°±17%0% to 17% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Roanoke

today, local time
Sunrise
06:53
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
12h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in Roanoke today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Roanoke today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Roanoke today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Roanoke and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Roanoke?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Roanoke (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 62. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Roanoke?
July is typically the warmest month in Roanoke, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Roanoke get?
The coldest month in Roanoke is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Roanoke get?
Roanoke sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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