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Salem weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
49°
Partly cloudy
Feels 47° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
53°
Overcast
Feels 50° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 68%
EuropeanECMWF
50°
Clear
Feels 47° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 77%

Latest for Salem: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 49° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 53° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 50° Clear.

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Salem weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Salem…

Salem weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Salem swings 59°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 28°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 39 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 138 days a year at 77°F or above, 63 of them at 86°F or above, 68 frost nights, and rain on 121 days.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
28°F average low
Wettest month
July
39 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
25,000
share this forecast
Warm days
138 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
68 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
121 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Salem’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Salem and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Salem hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Salem 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Salem, Virginia (VA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 28°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Salem right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Salem climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
44°
28°
Feb
50°
28°
Mar
56°
34°
Apr
68°
43°
May
75°
54°
Jun
84°
60°
Jul
87°
65°
Aug
85°
64°
Sep
78°
58°
Oct
69°
46°
Nov
57°
37°
Dec
48°
31°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Salem has changed since 1995

Salem sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Roanoke. That square ran 2.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Roanoke page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Salem today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Salem today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Salem today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Salem and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Salem?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Salem forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Salem?
July is typically the warmest month in Salem, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Salem get?
The coldest month in Salem is January, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Salem get?
Salem sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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