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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Portsmouth weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 64° in Portsmouth today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 66°, with a 8% chance of rain.

64°54°
66°54°
65°52°
66°52°
65°56°
69°57°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
60°
Mainly clear
Feels 57° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
60°
Clear
Feels 56° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 72%
EuropeanECMWF
58°
Mainly clear
Feels 54° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 64%

Latest for Portsmouth: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 60° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 60° Clear · European (ECMWF): 58° Mainly clear.

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Portsmouth weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Portsmouth weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Portsmouth swings 52°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 33°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 48 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 142 days a year at 77°F or above, 56 of them at 86°F or above, 31 frost nights, and rain on 131 days.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
January
33°F average low
Wettest month
August
48 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
96,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
142 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
31 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
131 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Portsmouth’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Portsmouth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Portsmouth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Portsmouth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
64° 54°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
66° 54°
models agree
Mon
Clear
65° 52°
models agree
Tue
Clear
66° 52°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
65° 56°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
69° 57°
±9°
Fri
Clear
69° 55°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
68° 56°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
69° 57°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
67° 59°
±17°
Tue
Drizzle
65° 55°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
62° 51°
±13°
Thu
Cloudy
70° 49°
models agree

Portsmouth, Virginia (VA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Portsmouth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Portsmouth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
50°
33°
Feb
52°
35°
Mar
58°
40°
Apr
68°
49°
May
73°
58°
Jun
82°
64°
Jul
85°
70°
Aug
84°
69°
Sep
78°
65°
Oct
70°
53°
Nov
59°
43°
Dec
52°
37°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Portsmouth has changed since 1995

Portsmouth sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Virginia Beach. That square ran 2.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Virginia Beach page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Portsmouth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F95±1.5 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°63° to 65°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±4°65° to 68°±8%0% to 8% chance
Monmodels agree65° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°63° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°64° to 68°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Portsmouth

today, local time
Sunrise
07:21
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
10h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Portsmouth today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 64° in Portsmouth today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 66°, with a 8% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Portsmouth today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Portsmouth on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 8% (NWS 8%, American 8%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 4%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Portsmouth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Portsmouth (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Portsmouth?
July is typically the warmest month in Portsmouth, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Portsmouth get?
The coldest month in Portsmouth is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Portsmouth get?
Portsmouth sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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