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CheckWeather USVirginia Beach
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Virginia Beach weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 85° in Virginia Beach today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 81°, with a 22% chance of rain.

85°75°
81°74°
79°73°
78°72°
83°70°
89°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Drizzle
Today 83°·Low 76°·Rain 33%
AmericanNOAA GFS
87°
Light drizzle
Today 87°·Low 74°·Rain 33%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Showers
Today 85°·Low 74°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Virginia Beach and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
85° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
81° 74°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
79° 73°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
78° 72°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
83° 70°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
89° 72°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
82° 75°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
81° 74°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
83° 75°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
84° 76°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
79° 74°
±10°
Wed
Thunderstorm
80° 73°
±11°
Thu
Thunderstorm
75° 72°
±5°
Fri
Showers
75° 71°
models agree

Virginia Beach, VA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 40°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Virginia Beach right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Virginia Beach climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
54°
40°
Feb
54°
41°
Mar
59°
45°
Apr
68°
53°
May
71°
60°
Jun
80°
67°
Jul
85°
73°
Aug
83°
72°
Sep
77°
68°
Oct
70°
58°
Nov
61°
50°
Dec
53°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Virginia Beach?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F97±1.0 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
48
/100rank #2
62±3.8°F93±2.2 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°83° to 87°±67%33% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°80° to 82°±10%12% to 22% chance
Mon±4°77° to 81°±13%6% to 19% chance
Tue±1°78° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°81° to 84°±17%1% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Virginia Beach

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
12h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Virginia Beach today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Virginia Beach today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Virginia Beach today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Virginia Beach and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Virginia Beach?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Virginia Beach (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the American at 48. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Virginia Beach?
July is typically the warmest month in Virginia Beach, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Virginia Beach get?
The coldest month in Virginia Beach is January, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Virginia Beach get?
Virginia Beach sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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