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CheckWeather USLake Barcroft

Lake Barcroft weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Mainly clear
Feels 76° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Overcast
Feels 74° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 56%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Mainly clear
Feels 74° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 68%

Latest for Lake Barcroft: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 72° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 75° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 72° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lake Barcroft and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Lake Barcroft, VA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 47 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lake Barcroft right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lake Barcroft climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
47°
33°
Feb
52°
34°
Mar
57°
38°
Apr
69°
49°
May
74°
54°
Jun
84°
63°
Jul
88°
69°
Aug
85°
67°
Sep
78°
62°
Oct
69°
51°
Nov
57°
41°
Dec
48°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Lake Barcroft today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lake Barcroft today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lake Barcroft today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lake Barcroft and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lake Barcroft?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Lake Barcroft forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Lake Barcroft?
July is typically the warmest month in Lake Barcroft, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Lake Barcroft get?
The coldest month in Lake Barcroft is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Lake Barcroft get?
Lake Barcroft sees roughly 47 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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