Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather US›Virginia›West Falls Church

West Falls Church weather

Loading live data…

West Falls Church weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering West Falls Church…

West Falls Church weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

West Falls Church swings 58°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 27°F lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 44 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 126 days a year at 77°F or above, 54 of them at 86°F or above, 65 frost nights, and rain on 136 days.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
February
27°F average low
Wettest month
July
44 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
29,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
126 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
65 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
136 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for West Falls Church’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around West Falls Church and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

West Falls Church hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

West Falls Church 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

West Falls Church, Virginia (VA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 27°F), with roughly 44 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for West Falls Church right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

West Falls Church climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
42°
28°
Feb
45°
27°
Mar
54°
35°
Apr
65°
45°
May
73°
53°
Jun
82°
61°
Jul
85°
66°
Aug
84°
66°
Sep
77°
61°
Oct
66°
48°
Nov
54°
38°
Dec
45°
31°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around West Falls Church has changed since 1995

West Falls Church sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Germantown. That square ran 2.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Germantown page.

Which forecast is most accurate in West Falls Church?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F96±1.2 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in West Falls Church today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for West Falls Church today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in West Falls Church today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for West Falls Church and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for West Falls Church?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for West Falls Church (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in West Falls Church?
July is typically the warmest month in West Falls Church, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does West Falls Church get?
The coldest month in West Falls Church is February, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does West Falls Church get?
West Falls Church sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather