Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USFredericksburg

Fredericksburg weather

Loading live data…

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fredericksburg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Fredericksburg, VA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fredericksburg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fredericksburg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
50°
34°
Feb
54°
36°
Mar
60°
39°
Apr
72°
50°
May
75°
56°
Jun
86°
64°
Jul
90°
70°
Aug
87°
68°
Sep
80°
62°
Oct
71°
52°
Nov
59°
42°
Dec
50°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fredericksburg?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F95±1.5 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Fredericksburg today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Fredericksburg today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fredericksburg today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Fredericksburg and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fredericksburg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fredericksburg (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fredericksburg?
July is typically the warmest month in Fredericksburg, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Fredericksburg get?
The coldest month in Fredericksburg is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Fredericksburg get?
Fredericksburg sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather