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Arkansas weather today

We follow 67 towns and cities in Arkansas, each with NWS, American, European side by side and the days they disagree flagged. Today the three models put highs between 72°F in Little Rock and 77°F in Pine Bluff, and no model gives a 50% or higher chance of rain in any of the 10 places we hold today's forecast for.

Numbers from the forecast run of Saturday, October 3. Open any town for the live, hour-by-hour comparison.

Weather in Arkansas' largest cities today

consensus of NWS, American, European, forecast run of Saturday, October 3
CityTodayHigh / lowRain chanceTomorrowModels agree
Little RockCloudy72°F / 66°F26%Cloudy, 80°FHigh (1°F apart)
Fort SmithCloudy76°F / 66°F14%Cloudy, 84°FMedium (6°F apart)
FayettevilleCloudy74°F / 60°F4%Cloudy, 78°FHigh (3°F apart)
SpringdaleCloudy75°F / 61°F4%Cloudy, 79°FHigh (1°F apart)
JonesboroCloudy74°F / 64°F13%Cloudy, 78°FHigh (2°F apart)
North Little RockCloudy73°F / 66°F26%Cloudy, 80°FHigh (1°F apart)
ConwayCloudy74°F / 65°F24%Cloudy, 81°FHigh (3°F apart)
RogersCloudy74°F / 60°F4%Cloudy, 79°FHigh (1°F apart)
Pine BluffCloudy77°F / 67°F21%Cloudy, 81°FHigh (3°F apart)
BentonvilleCloudy75°F / 60°F4%Cloudy, 79°FHigh (2°F apart)

Rain chance is the highest of the three models. "Models agree" compares their forecast highs, the same confidence rule as on every city page.

Arkansas weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts in Arkansas…

Today across Arkansas

from the latest model run, Saturday, October 3
Warmest today
76.9°F
  1. Fort Smith, AR75.6°F
  2. Springdale, AR74.8°F
  3. Jonesboro, AR74.2°F
  4. Conway, AR73.9°F
Coldest low today
59.8°F
  1. Jonesboro, AR63.7°F
  2. Conway, AR65.2°F
  3. Little Rock, AR65.7°F
  4. Fort Smith, AR65.9°F

Warmest and coldest use the average of NWS, American, European. "Rain most certain" ranks by the lowest chance among the models that give one (at least two), so a place only makes the list when they agree, and only from 30%. One place per area, so the list spreads across the state.

The past week across Arkansas

analysed, the seven days September 22 to September 28

Estimates from NASA POWER (GEOS-IT weather analysis, FLASHFlux satellite sunlight), not forecasts or station readings. Warmest and coolest are the average daily high. "Sunniest" is the sunlight that reached the ground as a share of what a clear sky would give at that latitude and date (FAO-56 clear-sky formula, approximate). Each value covers an area of about 50 km around the town, so one town per area. Rain is left out because weekly rain estimates differ too much between data sources to rank them honestly. The week ends a few days back because the sunlight data arrives with a delay.

Which forecast is most accurate in Arkansas?

Over the last 30 days we graded the models in 18 Arkansas cities against the recorded weather. The European model was most accurate in 18 of them. No model wins everywhere, which is why each city page names its own winner.

How we grade: the US accuracy scoreboard and our method.

Arkansas climate, city by city

Across the 41 Arkansas places we hold long-run averages for, typical July highs run from 89°F in Fayetteville to 93°F in De Queen, and January highs from 46°F in Springdale to 56°F in Camden. Arkadelphia is the wettest at about 59 in of precipitation a year, Harrison the driest at about 39 in.

CityJan highJul highWettest monthRain per year
Little Rock51°F90°FJanuary51 in
Fort Smith49°F92°FMarch51 in
Fayetteville47°F89°FMay42 in
Springdale46°F89°FMay43 in
Jonesboro48°F89°FJanuary54 in
North Little Rock51°F90°FJanuary51 in
Conway50°F90°FMay54 in
Rogers46°F89°FMay43 in
Pine Bluff53°F90°FJanuary55 in
Bentonville46°F89°FMay44 in
Hot Springs52°F90°FJanuary56 in
Benton52°F91°FJanuary52 in
Sherwood51°F90°FJanuary52 in
Texarkana55°F92°FMarch55 in
Russellville50°F91°FApril49 in

Averages from ERA5 reanalysis, the same source as the climate tables on each city page.

All 67 places in Arkansas

every town and city we cover, A to Z

Common questions

What is the weather in Arkansas today?
Today the three models put highs between 72°F in Little Rock and 77°F in Pine Bluff, and no model gives a 50% or higher chance of rain in any of the 10 places we hold today's forecast for. Open any town on this page for the live, hour-by-hour comparison.
Where is it warmest in Arkansas today?
Pine Bluff has the highest forecast high of the 10 Arkansas places we hold today's forecast for, near 77°F. Little Rock is the coolest, near 72°F.
Which weather forecast is most accurate in Arkansas?
Over the last 30 days we graded the models in 18 Arkansas cities against the recorded weather. The European model was most accurate in 18 of them.
What is the climate like in Arkansas?
Across the 41 Arkansas places we hold long-run averages for, typical July highs run from 89°F in Fayetteville to 93°F in De Queen, and January highs from 46°F in Springdale to 56°F in Camden. Arkadelphia is the wettest at about 59 in of precipitation a year, Harrison the driest at about 39 in.

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