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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Jonesboro weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 101° in Jonesboro today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 100°, with a 45% chance of rain.

101°77°
100°78°
94°74°
100°70°
102°78°
94°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
103°
Mostly clear
Today 103°·Low 78°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
102°
Cloudy
Today 102°·Low 76°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Light drizzle
Today 99°·Low 77°·Rain 49%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Jonesboro and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
101° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
100° 78°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
94° 74°
models agree
Tue
Clear
100° 70°
±6°
Wed
Clear
102° 78°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
94° 77°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
95° 74°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
98° 74°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
97° 77°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
90° 72°
±23°
Tue
Light drizzle
83° 65°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
81° 59°
models agree
Thu
Clear
84° 58°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
86° 59°
models agree

Jonesboro, AR is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Jonesboro right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Jonesboro climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
48°
33°
Feb
59°
40°
Mar
63°
45°
Apr
71°
53°
May
81°
62°
Jun
88°
69°
Jul
89°
73°
Aug
89°
72°
Sep
83°
66°
Oct
74°
55°
Nov
63°
46°
Dec
54°
39°

Which forecast is most accurate in Jonesboro?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.4 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F94±1.8 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°99° to 103°±47%2% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±2°99° to 101°±38%7% to 45% chance
Mon±2°93° to 95°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±6°97° to 103°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±7°99° to 106°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Jonesboro

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
19:24
Daylight
12h 46m

Common questions

What's the weather in Jonesboro today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Jonesboro today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Jonesboro today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Jonesboro and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Jonesboro?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Jonesboro (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Jonesboro?
July is typically the warmest month in Jonesboro, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Jonesboro get?
The coldest month in Jonesboro is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Jonesboro get?
Jonesboro sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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