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CheckWeather USFayetteville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Fayetteville weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in Fayetteville today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 99°, with a 62% chance of rain.

100°77°
99°77°
97°76°
100°75°
100°77°
89°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Mainly clear
Feels 94° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 47%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Partly cloudy
Feels 87° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 69%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Light showers
Feels 89° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 84%

Latest for Fayetteville: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 90° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 81° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 80° Light showers.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fayetteville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
100° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
99° 77°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
97° 76°
models agree
Tue
Clear
100° 75°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
100° 77°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
89° 73°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
93° 72°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
97° 76°
±6°
Sun
Showers
93° 70°
±9°
Mon
Mostly clear
87° 65°
±17°
Tue
Light drizzle
82° 62°
±9°
Wed
Mostly clear
82° 55°
±12°
Thu
Clear
85° 58°
±8°
Fri
Clear
86° 62°
models agree

Fayetteville, AR is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 29°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fayetteville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fayetteville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
47°
29°
Feb
58°
38°
Mar
62°
42°
Apr
69°
49°
May
78°
59°
Jun
87°
67°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
90°
71°
Sep
83°
63°
Oct
75°
55°
Nov
61°
43°
Dec
52°
37°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fayetteville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.5 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F95±1.5 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°99° to 100°±34%5% to 39% chance
Tomorrow±1°98° to 99°±49%13% to 62% chance
Mon±2°96° to 98°±17%7% to 24% chance
Tue±3°99° to 101°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±4°99° to 103°±12%4% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fayetteville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:38
Daylight
12h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fayetteville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Fayetteville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fayetteville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Fayetteville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fayetteville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fayetteville (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fayetteville?
August is typically the warmest month in Fayetteville, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Fayetteville get?
The coldest month in Fayetteville is January, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Fayetteville get?
Fayetteville sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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