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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Springdale weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Springdale today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain.

80°55°
78°56°
75°55°
73°56°
77°55°
79°58°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Partly cloudy
Today 80°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
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Springdale weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Springdale…

Springdale weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Springdale swings 60°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 28°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 144 days a year at 77°F or above, 70 of them at 86°F or above, 57 frost nights, and rain on 117 days.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
28°F average low
Wettest month
May
50 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
April and October
Residents
78,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
144 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
57 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
117 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Springdale’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Springdale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Springdale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Springdale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
80° 55°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
78° 56°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
75° 55°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
73° 56°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
77° 55°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
79° 58°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
75° 60°
±6°
Sat
Drizzle
70° 59°
±11°
Sun
Drizzle
74° 56°
±8°
Mon
Light rain
71° 49°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
69° 47°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
70° 48°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
66° 47°
±18°

Springdale, Arkansas (AR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 28°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Springdale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Springdale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
45°
28°
Feb
53°
32°
Mar
59°
40°
Apr
68°
48°
May
76°
57°
Jun
84°
63°
Jul
88°
69°
Aug
88°
68°
Sep
80°
60°
Oct
70°
50°
Nov
58°
40°
Dec
47°
31°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Springdale has changed since 1995

Springdale sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Fayetteville. That square ran 1.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Fayetteville page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Springdale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F96±1.3 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°78° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°76° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°74° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°72° to 74°±5%1% to 6% chance
Wed±1°77° to 78°±13%3% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Springdale

today, local time
Sunrise
07:31
Sunset
18:29
Daylight
10h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Springdale today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Springdale today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Springdale today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Springdale on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Springdale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Springdale (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Springdale?
July is typically the warmest month in Springdale, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Springdale get?
The coldest month in Springdale is January, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Springdale get?
Springdale sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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