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CheckWeather US›Arkansas›Bentonville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Bentonville weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Bentonville today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain.

80°55°
78°55°
75°55°
73°56°
77°55°
80°58°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Partly cloudy
Today 80°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
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Bentonville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Bentonville weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Bentonville swings 61°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 27°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 47 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 144 days a year at 77°F or above, 71 of them at 86°F or above, 60 frost nights, and rain on 114 days.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
27°F average low
Wettest month
May
47 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
April and October
Residents
44,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
144 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
60 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
114 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Bentonville’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bentonville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bentonville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bentonville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
80° 55°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
78° 55°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
75° 55°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
73° 56°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
77° 55°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
80° 58°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
74° 60°
±8°
Sat
Drizzle
70° 59°
±11°
Sun
Drizzle
73° 56°
±9°
Mon
Light rain
70° 49°
±10°
Tue
Partly cloudy
70° 47°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
70° 48°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
65° 48°
±17°

Bentonville, Arkansas (AR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 47 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bentonville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bentonville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
45°
27°
Feb
51°
31°
Mar
59°
39°
Apr
68°
48°
May
76°
57°
Jun
83°
62°
Jul
88°
69°
Aug
88°
68°
Sep
80°
60°
Oct
69°
49°
Nov
57°
38°
Dec
47°
31°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Bentonville has changed since 1995

Bentonville sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Rogers. That square ran 1.3°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Rogers page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bentonville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±0.9 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F95±1.4 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°78° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°76° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°74° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°72° to 75°±5%1% to 6% chance
Wed±1°77° to 78°±14%2% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bentonville

today, local time
Sunrise
07:32
Sunset
18:29
Daylight
10h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bentonville today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Bentonville today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bentonville today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Bentonville on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bentonville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bentonville (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bentonville?
July is typically the warmest month in Bentonville, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Bentonville get?
The coldest month in Bentonville is January, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Bentonville get?
Bentonville sees roughly 47 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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