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Morrilton weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
57°
Clear
Feels 56° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
56°
Clear
Feels 53° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 70%
EuropeanECMWF
60°
Mainly clear
Feels 57° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 57%

Latest for Morrilton: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 57° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 56° Clear · European (ECMWF): 60° Mainly clear.

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Morrilton weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Morrilton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Morrilton swings 61°F across the year, from 93°F highs in July to 32°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 49 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
93°F average high
Coldest month
January
32°F average low
Wettest month
May
49 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
6,738
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Morrilton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Morrilton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Morrilton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Morrilton, Arkansas (AR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Morrilton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Morrilton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
49°
32°
Feb
55°
34°
Mar
63°
43°
Apr
72°
53°
May
80°
61°
Jun
90°
69°
Jul
93°
74°
Aug
91°
71°
Sep
84°
65°
Oct
74°
53°
Nov
61°
43°
Dec
51°
35°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Morrilton has changed since 1995

Morrilton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as North Little Rock. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the North Little Rock page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Morrilton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Morrilton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morrilton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Morrilton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morrilton?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Morrilton forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Morrilton?
July is typically the warmest month in Morrilton, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Morrilton get?
The coldest month in Morrilton is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Morrilton get?
Morrilton sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

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