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CheckWeather USLittle Rock
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Little Rock weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in Little Rock today. Tomorrow looks showers around 101°, with a 15% chance of rain.

100°78°
101°79°
97°77°
101°73°
101°77°
96°78°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
100°
Clear
Today 100°·Low 77°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
99°
Mostly clear
Today 99°·Low 77°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
100°
Light drizzle
Today 100°·Low 79°·Rain 75%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Little Rock and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
100° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
101° 79°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
97° 77°
models agree
Tue
Clear
101° 73°
±8°
Wed
Clear
101° 77°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
96° 78°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
95° 76°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
98° 76°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
96° 77°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
90° 74°
±18°
Tue
Light drizzle
84° 68°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
84° 63°
±6°
Thu
Clear
86° 62°
±5°
Fri
Clear
88° 64°
models agree

Little Rock, AR is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Little Rock right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Little Rock climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
51°
35°
Feb
61°
41°
Mar
65°
46°
Apr
72°
53°
May
82°
63°
Jun
90°
70°
Jul
90°
73°
Aug
92°
73°
Sep
85°
67°
Oct
77°
57°
Nov
65°
47°
Dec
56°
40°

Which forecast is most accurate in Little Rock?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F95±1.5 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°99° to 100°±72%3% to 75% chance
Tomorrow±2°101° to 102°±4%11% to 15% chance
Mon±3°96° to 98°±3%2% to 5% chance
Tue±8°98° to 106°models agree1% to 1% chance
Wed±6°98° to 103°±3%1% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Little Rock

today, local time
Sunrise
06:45
Sunset
19:30
Daylight
12h 45m

Common questions

What's the weather in Little Rock today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Little Rock today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Little Rock today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Little Rock and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Little Rock?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Little Rock (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Little Rock?
August is typically the warmest month in Little Rock, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Little Rock get?
The coldest month in Little Rock is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Little Rock get?
Little Rock sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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