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Jacksonville weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
58°
Clear
Feels 57° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
55°
Clear
Feels 52° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 70%
EuropeanECMWF
60°
Clear
Feels 58° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 64%

Latest for Jacksonville: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 58° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 55° Clear · European (ECMWF): 60° Clear.

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Jacksonville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Jacksonville…

Jacksonville weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Jacksonville swings 58°F across the year, from 92°F highs in July to 34°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 51 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 169 days a year at 77°F or above, 99 of them at 86°F or above, 34 frost nights, and rain on 121 days.

Warmest month
July
92°F average high
Coldest month
January
34°F average low
Wettest month
May
51 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
29,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
169 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
34 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
121 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Jacksonville’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Jacksonville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Jacksonville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Jacksonville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Jacksonville, Arkansas (AR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Jacksonville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Jacksonville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
50°
34°
Feb
55°
36°
Mar
63°
44°
Apr
72°
53°
May
80°
61°
Jun
90°
70°
Jul
92°
74°
Aug
91°
72°
Sep
84°
65°
Oct
74°
54°
Nov
61°
44°
Dec
51°
36°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Jacksonville's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.6°F

Around Jacksonville, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.6°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average1996: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average1998: +2.4°F vs the 30-year average1999: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2002: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2003: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2005: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2006: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average2009: −2.8°F vs the 30-year average2010: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2011: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average2012: +2.2°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2014: −2.4°F vs the 30-year average2015: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2018: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2020: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2021: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2022: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2023: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

18 fewer days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +16 vs the 30-year average1996: −2 vs the 30-year average1997: −6 vs the 30-year average1998: +45 vs the 30-year average1999: +16 vs the 30-year average2000: +26 vs the 30-year average2001: +10 vs the 30-year average2002: −6 vs the 30-year average2003: −8 vs the 30-year average2004: −20 vs the 30-year average2005: +23 vs the 30-year average2006: +17 vs the 30-year average2007: −3 vs the 30-year average2008: −13 vs the 30-year average2009: −28 vs the 30-year average2010: +13 vs the 30-year average2011: +12 vs the 30-year average2012: +24 vs the 30-year average2013: −4 vs the 30-year average2014: −9 vs the 30-year average2015: +0 vs the 30-year average2016: −19 vs the 30-year average2017: −21 vs the 30-year average2018: −7 vs the 30-year average2019: −17 vs the 30-year average2020: −27 vs the 30-year average2021: −22 vs the 30-year average2022: +2 vs the 30-year average2023: +0 vs the 30-year average2024: −4 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

11 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +6 vs the 30-year average1996: +11 vs the 30-year average1997: −4 vs the 30-year average1998: −19 vs the 30-year average1999: −9 vs the 30-year average2000: +10 vs the 30-year average2001: +1 vs the 30-year average2002: +14 vs the 30-year average2003: +19 vs the 30-year average2004: −1 vs the 30-year average2005: −6 vs the 30-year average2006: −12 vs the 30-year average2007: +5 vs the 30-year average2008: +19 vs the 30-year average2009: +11 vs the 30-year average2010: +14 vs the 30-year average2011: −6 vs the 30-year average2012: −14 vs the 30-year average2013: +17 vs the 30-year average2014: +21 vs the 30-year average2015: +2 vs the 30-year average2016: −8 vs the 30-year average2017: −23 vs the 30-year average2018: +3 vs the 30-year average2019: −8 vs the 30-year average2020: −24 vs the 30-year average2021: −5 vs the 30-year average2022: +18 vs the 30-year average2023: −19 vs the 30-year average2024: −19 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−3%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +2% vs the 30-year average1996: +7% vs the 30-year average1997: −4% vs the 30-year average1998: +2% vs the 30-year average1999: +2% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: −4% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: −1% vs the 30-year average2004: +2% vs the 30-year average2005: −1% vs the 30-year average2006: +5% vs the 30-year average2007: −4% vs the 30-year average2008: +7% vs the 30-year average2009: +2% vs the 30-year average2010: −1% vs the 30-year average2011: +2% vs the 30-year average2012: +2% vs the 30-year average2013: −1% vs the 30-year average2014: +2% vs the 30-year average2015: −1% vs the 30-year average2016: −4% vs the 30-year average2017: +2% vs the 30-year average2018: −4% vs the 30-year average2019: −4% vs the 30-year average2020: −1% vs the 30-year average2021: +2% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: −7% vs the 30-year average2024: −1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.1°F+16+6+2%
1996−1.2°F−2+11+7%
1997−1.9°F−6−4−4%
1998+2.4°F+45−19+2%
1999+1.2°F+16−9+2%
2000+0.4°F+26+10+2%
2001+0.1°F+10+1−4%
2002−1.0°F−6+14+2%
2003−1.0°F−8+19−1%
2004−0.3°F−20−1+2%
2005+1.0°F+23−6−1%
2006+1.2°F+17−12+5%
2007+0.3°F−3+5−4%
2008−1.9°F−13+19+7%
2009−2.8°F−28+11+2%
2010−0.1°F+13+14−1%
2011+0.4°F+12−6+2%
2012+2.2°F+24−14+2%
2013−1.2°F−4+17−1%
2014−2.4°F−9+21+2%
2015+0.3°F+0+2−1%
2016+1.2°F−19−8−4%
2017+1.7°F−21−23+2%
2018−0.3°F−7+3−4%
2019−0.3°F−17−8−4%
2020−0.8°F−27−24−1%
2021−0.1°F−22−5+2%
2022−0.3°F+2+18+2%
2023+1.5°F+0−19−7%
2024+1.7°F−4−19−1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Jacksonville, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Jacksonville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F96±1.3 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Jacksonville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Jacksonville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Jacksonville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Jacksonville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Jacksonville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Jacksonville (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Jacksonville?
July is typically the warmest month in Jacksonville, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Jacksonville get?
The coldest month in Jacksonville is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Jacksonville get?
Jacksonville sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
Is Jacksonville getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Jacksonville, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.6°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

SherwoodCabotNorth Little RockLittle RockMaumelleBeebeConwayEast End

More US weather

Which forecast is most accurate in United States?US rain radarNWS vs American vs European: models comparedHow we measure forecast accuracyHow accurate is a 7-day forecast?Arkansas weather todayAll US citiesHoliday weather abroadEmbed Jacksonville on your siteThe national forecast models, explained: NBM, UKMO, GEM and ACCESS