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CheckWeather USConway
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Conway weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in Conway today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 102°, with a 26% chance of rain.

100°76°
102°78°
98°77°
101°70°
101°75°
96°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
102°
Light drizzle
Today 102°·Low 76°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
101°
Mostly clear
Today 101°·Low 75°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
98°
Light drizzle
Today 98°·Low 77°·Rain 55%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Conway and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
100° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
102° 78°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
98° 77°
models agree
Tue
Clear
101° 70°
±7°
Wed
Clear
101° 75°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
96° 76°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
96° 74°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
98° 74°
±7°
Sun
Drizzle
97° 76°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
90° 73°
±21°
Tue
Light drizzle
84° 66°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
83° 61°
±5°
Thu
Clear
86° 59°
models agree
Fri
Clear
88° 61°
models agree

Conway, AR is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Conway right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Conway climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
50°
33°
Feb
60°
41°
Mar
65°
45°
Apr
72°
53°
May
81°
63°
Jun
90°
69°
Jul
90°
73°
Aug
92°
73°
Sep
85°
66°
Oct
77°
56°
Nov
64°
46°
Dec
55°
39°

Which forecast is most accurate in Conway?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F95±1.5 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
71±2.9°F93±2.3 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°98° to 102°±46%9% to 55% chance
Tomorrow±3°100° to 103°±16%10% to 26% chance
Mon±2°97° to 99°±3%2% to 5% chance
Tue±7°98° to 105°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±4°99° to 104°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Conway

today, local time
Sunrise
06:45
Sunset
19:31
Daylight
12h 46m

Common questions

What's the weather in Conway today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Conway today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Conway today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Conway and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Conway?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Conway (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Conway?
August is typically the warmest month in Conway, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Conway get?
The coldest month in Conway is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Conway get?
Conway sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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