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CheckWeather US›Arkansas›Hot Springs Village

Hot Springs Village weather

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Hot Springs Village weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Hot Springs Village weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Hot Springs Village swings 57°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 33°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 59 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 160 days a year at 77°F or above, 90 of them at 86°F or above, 34 frost nights, and rain on 127 days.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
33°F average low
Wettest month
May
59 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
13,000
share this forecast
Warm days
160 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
34 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
127 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Hot Springs Village’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Hot Springs Village and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hot Springs Village hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hot Springs Village 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Hot Springs Village, Arkansas (AR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 59 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Hot Springs Village right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Hot Springs Village climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
50°
33°
Feb
55°
37°
Mar
62°
43°
Apr
71°
53°
May
79°
60°
Jun
89°
68°
Jul
90°
72°
Aug
90°
70°
Sep
83°
64°
Oct
73°
53°
Nov
61°
43°
Dec
51°
36°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Hot Springs Village has changed since 1995

Hot Springs Village sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Hot Springs. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Hot Springs page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Hot Springs Village today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Hot Springs Village today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hot Springs Village today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Hot Springs Village and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hot Springs Village?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Hot Springs Village forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Hot Springs Village?
July is typically the warmest month in Hot Springs Village, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Hot Springs Village get?
The coldest month in Hot Springs Village is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Hot Springs Village get?
Hot Springs Village sees roughly 59 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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