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Van Buren weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
61°
Clear
Feels 58° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 69%
AmericanNOAA GFS
59°
Clear
Feels 55° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 60%
EuropeanECMWF
63°
Clear
Feels 59° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 54%

Latest for Van Buren: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 61° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 59° Clear · European (ECMWF): 63° Clear.

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Van Buren weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Van Buren weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Van Buren swings 59°F across the year, from 91°F highs in August to 32°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 166 days a year at 77°F or above, 96 of them at 86°F or above, 42 frost nights, and rain on 115 days.

Warmest month
August
91°F average high
Coldest month
January
32°F average low
Wettest month
May
50 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
23,000
share this forecast
Warm days
166 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
42 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
115 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Van Buren’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Van Buren and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Van Buren hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Van Buren 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Van Buren, Arkansas (AR) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Van Buren right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Van Buren climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
49°
32°
Feb
55°
34°
Mar
63°
42°
Apr
71°
51°
May
79°
60°
Jun
87°
66°
Jul
90°
71°
Aug
91°
71°
Sep
83°
63°
Oct
72°
51°
Nov
61°
41°
Dec
50°
34°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Van Buren has changed since 1995

Van Buren sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Fort Smith. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Fort Smith page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Van Buren today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Van Buren today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Van Buren today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Van Buren and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Van Buren?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Van Buren forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Van Buren?
August is typically the warmest month in Van Buren, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Van Buren get?
The coldest month in Van Buren is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Van Buren get?
Van Buren sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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