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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Pine Bluff weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Pine Bluff today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain.

82°51°
79°52°
78°56°
77°56°
81°56°
82°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
60°
Clear
Feels 59° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 69%
AmericanNOAA GFS
55°
Clear
Feels 53° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 69%
EuropeanECMWF
61°
Clear
Feels 60° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 64%

Latest for Pine Bluff: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 60° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 55° Clear · European (ECMWF): 61° Clear.

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Pine Bluff weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Pine Bluff…

Pine Bluff weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Pine Bluff swings 55°F across the year, from 91°F highs in July to 36°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 53 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 178 days a year at 77°F or above, 106 of them at 86°F or above, 28 frost nights, and rain on 122 days.

Warmest month
July
91°F average high
Coldest month
January
36°F average low
Wettest month
December
53 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
45,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
178 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
28 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
122 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Pine Bluff’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Pine Bluff and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Pine Bluff hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Pine Bluff 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
82° 51°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
79° 52°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
78° 56°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
77° 56°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
81° 56°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
82° 56°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
81° 57°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
80° 62°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
78° 63°
±10°
Mon
Drizzle
75° 56°
±10°
Tue
Mostly clear
70° 53°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 54°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 54°
±14°

Pine Bluff, Arkansas (AR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 36°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Pine Bluff right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Pine Bluff climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
52°
36°
Feb
57°
38°
Mar
64°
46°
Apr
73°
54°
May
80°
62°
Jun
89°
70°
Jul
91°
74°
Aug
90°
72°
Sep
84°
67°
Oct
74°
54°
Nov
62°
45°
Dec
54°
37°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Pine Bluff's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.8°F

Around Pine Bluff, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.8°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average1996: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average1998: +2.5°F vs the 30-year average1999: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2001: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2002: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2003: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2005: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average2009: −2.4°F vs the 30-year average2010: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2011: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2012: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2014: −2.6°F vs the 30-year average2015: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2018: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2019: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2020: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2021: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2023: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.9°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

9 fewer days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +10 vs the 30-year average1996: −6 vs the 30-year average1997: −6 vs the 30-year average1998: +44 vs the 30-year average1999: +19 vs the 30-year average2000: +14 vs the 30-year average2001: −4 vs the 30-year average2002: −1 vs the 30-year average2003: −15 vs the 30-year average2004: −38 vs the 30-year average2005: +25 vs the 30-year average2006: +6 vs the 30-year average2007: −17 vs the 30-year average2008: −14 vs the 30-year average2009: −31 vs the 30-year average2010: +33 vs the 30-year average2011: +31 vs the 30-year average2012: +9 vs the 30-year average2013: +19 vs the 30-year average2014: −15 vs the 30-year average2015: +9 vs the 30-year average2016: −1 vs the 30-year average2017: −27 vs the 30-year average2018: +1 vs the 30-year average2019: −3 vs the 30-year average2020: −41 vs the 30-year average2021: −28 vs the 30-year average2022: +10 vs the 30-year average2023: +11 vs the 30-year average2024: +3 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

6 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +9 vs the 30-year average1996: +10 vs the 30-year average1997: −1 vs the 30-year average1998: −14 vs the 30-year average1999: −13 vs the 30-year average2000: +9 vs the 30-year average2001: −4 vs the 30-year average2002: +2 vs the 30-year average2003: +15 vs the 30-year average2004: −1 vs the 30-year average2005: −14 vs the 30-year average2006: −5 vs the 30-year average2007: +3 vs the 30-year average2008: +14 vs the 30-year average2009: +5 vs the 30-year average2010: +22 vs the 30-year average2011: −1 vs the 30-year average2012: −15 vs the 30-year average2013: +12 vs the 30-year average2014: +19 vs the 30-year average2015: +2 vs the 30-year average2016: −7 vs the 30-year average2017: −15 vs the 30-year average2018: +3 vs the 30-year average2019: −3 vs the 30-year average2020: −19 vs the 30-year average2021: −6 vs the 30-year average2022: +16 vs the 30-year average2023: −14 vs the 30-year average2024: −12 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−3%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4% vs the 30-year average1996: +4% vs the 30-year average1997: −3% vs the 30-year average1998: +4% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: +0% vs the 30-year average2001: −3% vs the 30-year average2002: +0% vs the 30-year average2003: +0% vs the 30-year average2004: +0% vs the 30-year average2005: −3% vs the 30-year average2006: +0% vs the 30-year average2007: −3% vs the 30-year average2008: +4% vs the 30-year average2009: +0% vs the 30-year average2010: +0% vs the 30-year average2011: +4% vs the 30-year average2012: +4% vs the 30-year average2013: +0% vs the 30-year average2014: +0% vs the 30-year average2015: −3% vs the 30-year average2016: −3% vs the 30-year average2017: +0% vs the 30-year average2018: −3% vs the 30-year average2019: −3% vs the 30-year average2020: −3% vs the 30-year average2021: +0% vs the 30-year average2022: +0% vs the 30-year average2023: −3% vs the 30-year average2024: +0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995+0.1°F+10+9+4%
1996−1.5°F−6+10+4%
1997−1.9°F−6−1−3%
1998+2.5°F+44−14+4%
1999+1.2°F+19−13+4%
2000+0.1°F+14+9+0%
2001−0.6°F−4−4−3%
2002−1.0°F−1+2+0%
2003−1.0°F−15+15+0%
2004−0.6°F−38−1+0%
2005+0.8°F+25−14−3%
2006+0.8°F+6−5+0%
2007+0.5°F−17+3−3%
2008−1.7°F−14+14+4%
2009−2.4°F−31+5+0%
2010+0.1°F+33+22+0%
2011+1.0°F+31−1+4%
2012+1.7°F+9−15+4%
2013−1.1°F+19+12+0%
2014−2.6°F−15+19+0%
2015+0.7°F+9+2−3%
2016+1.2°F−1−7−3%
2017+1.4°F−27−15+0%
2018−0.4°F+1+3−3%
2019+0.1°F−3−3−3%
2020−1.0°F−41−19−3%
2021−0.2°F−28−6+0%
2022+0.1°F+10+16+0%
2023+1.7°F+11−14−3%
2024+1.9°F+3−12+0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Pine Bluff, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Pine Bluff?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F96±1.3 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°81° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°78° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°77° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°77° to 78°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±4°79° to 83°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Pine Bluff

today, local time
Sunrise
07:20
Sunset
18:22
Daylight
11h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Pine Bluff today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Pine Bluff today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Pine Bluff today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Pine Bluff on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Pine Bluff?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Pine Bluff (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Pine Bluff?
July is typically the warmest month in Pine Bluff, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Pine Bluff get?
The coldest month in Pine Bluff is January, when overnight lows average about 36°F.
How much rain does Pine Bluff get?
Pine Bluff sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is Pine Bluff getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Pine Bluff, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.8°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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More US weather

Which forecast is most accurate in United States?US rain radarNWS vs American vs European: models comparedHow we measure forecast accuracyHow accurate is a 7-day forecast?Arkansas weather todayAll US citiesHoliday weather abroadEmbed Pine Bluff on your siteThe national forecast models, explained: NBM, UKMO, GEM and ACCESS