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Every New Zealand forecast, compared
checkweather.io
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Wanaka weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Wanaka's high today between and , a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 8°, with a 23% chance of rain.

11°
12°
11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
Heavy drizzle
Today ·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Drizzle
Today ·Low ·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
Light rain
Today ·Low ·Rain 95%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Wanaka and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
11°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
12°
±3°
Thu
Light snow
models agree
Fri
Snow showers
11°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
11°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
12°
±8°
Wed
Light rain
10°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
10°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
12°
±3°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12°
±6°

Wanaka, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1412 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Wanaka right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Wanaka climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
13°
Feb
21°
12°
Mar
18°
Apr
16°
May
12°
Jun
Jul
Aug
10°
Sep
12°
Oct
14°
Nov
18°
Dec
21°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Wanaka?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.6 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
90
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C91±4.3 km/t9597% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
65
/100rank #3
33±3.7°C93±3.7 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°5° to 8°±5%95% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°7° to 10°±18%5% to 23% chance
Tue±2°10° to 12°±9%0% to 9% chance
Wed±3°11° to 13°±53%23% to 76% chance
Thu±1°8° to 8°±27%60% to 87% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wanaka

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
18:20
Daylight
11h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wanaka today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Wanaka today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wanaka today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Wanaka and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wanaka?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wanaka (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the German at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wanaka?
January is typically the warmest month in Wanaka, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Wanaka get?
The coldest month in Wanaka is July, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Wanaka get?
Wanaka sees roughly 1412 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

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