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Every New Zealand forecast, compared
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CheckWeather NZOamaru
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Oamaru weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near in Oamaru today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 9°, with a 81% chance of rain.

11°
14°
10°
13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
Light rain
Today ·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Showers
Today ·Low ·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
Light rain
Today ·Low ·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Oamaru and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14°
±2°
Thu
Light snow
10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
11°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
14°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
19°
±2°
Wed
Drizzle
14°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
11°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
16°
±5°

Oamaru, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 2°C), with roughly 801 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Oamaru right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Oamaru climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
21°
12°
Feb
22°
12°
Mar
18°
Apr
17°
May
13°
Jun
11°
Jul
11°
Aug
12°
Sep
15°
Oct
16°
Nov
17°
Dec
19°
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Oamaru?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C94±2.8 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
88
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C93±3.3 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C89±5.4 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°8° to 9°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°8° to 9°±41%40% to 81% chance
Tue±1°11° to 11°±5%8% to 13% chance
Wed±2°13° to 15°±5%9% to 14% chance
Thu±2°9° to 11°±22%53% to 75% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Oamaru

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
18:13
Daylight
11h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Oamaru today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Oamaru today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Oamaru today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Oamaru and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oamaru?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Oamaru (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the German at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Oamaru?
February is typically the warmest month in Oamaru, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Oamaru get?
The coldest month in Oamaru is August, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Oamaru get?
Oamaru sees roughly 801 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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