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CheckWeather NZAlexandra
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Alexandra weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near in Alexandra today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 9°, with a 65% chance of rain.

13°
14°
11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
Heavy drizzle
Today ·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Drizzle
Today ·Low ·Rain 97%
GermanDWD ICON
Light rain
Today ·Low ·Rain 93%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Alexandra and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Light snow
±3°
Fri
Light snow
11°
±4°
Sat
Light snow
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
11°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
15°
±6°
Wed
Light rain
11°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
10°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
13°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
13°
±8°

Alexandra, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 2°C), with roughly 942 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Alexandra right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Alexandra climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
24°
13°
Feb
23°
12°
Mar
19°
Apr
16°
May
12°
Jun
Jul
Aug
10°
Sep
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
19°
Dec
23°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Alexandra?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C95±2.3 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
74
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C88±5.9 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
69
/100rank #3
70±1.7°C84±8.2 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°7° to 9°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 10°±57%8% to 65% chance
Tue±2°12° to 13°±5%3% to 8% chance
Wed±2°13° to 16°±36%38% to 74% chance
Thu±3°8° to 10°±6%75% to 81% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Alexandra

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
11h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Alexandra today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Alexandra today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Alexandra today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Alexandra and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Alexandra?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Alexandra (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the German at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Alexandra?
January is typically the warmest month in Alexandra, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Alexandra get?
The coldest month in Alexandra is July, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Alexandra get?
Alexandra sees roughly 942 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

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