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CheckWeather NZNorth East Valley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

North East Valley weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near in North East Valley today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 8°, with a 90% chance of rain.

11°
15°
11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
Light rain
Today ·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Drizzle
Today ·Low ·Rain 98%
GermanDWD ICON
Showers
Today ·Low ·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around North East Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
11°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
11°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
11°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
18°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
13°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
10°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±8°

North East Valley, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 4°C), with roughly 963 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for North East Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

North East Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
18°
12°
Feb
18°
12°
Mar
16°
10°
Apr
14°
May
12°
Jun
10°
Jul
10°
Aug
11°
Sep
12°
Oct
13°
Nov
14°
Dec
16°
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in North East Valley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C84±7.9 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
78
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C92±3.8 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
77
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C85±7.7 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°7° to 9°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree8° to 9°±75%15% to 90% chance
Tue±1°11° to 12°±13%3% to 16% chance
Wedmodels agree15° to 15°±37%23% to 60% chance
Thu±1°8° to 9°±26%52% to 78% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in North East Valley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:58
Sunset
18:14
Daylight
11h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in North East Valley today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for North East Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in North East Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for North East Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for North East Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for North East Valley (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the German at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in North East Valley?
January is typically the warmest month in North East Valley, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does North East Valley get?
The coldest month in North East Valley is August, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does North East Valley get?
North East Valley sees roughly 963 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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