Christchurch weather
Loading live data…Light rain,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Christchurch's high today between 10° and 13°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Christchurch and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitChristchurch, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Christchurch right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Christchurch's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.
Christchurch weather by month
what to expect in Christchurch through the yearHere is Christchurch's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Christchurch by season.
What Christchurch's weather is like through the year
Christchurch runs from warm summers, with February highs near 22°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 4°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Christchurch sees roughly 654 mm of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Christchurch
The most comfortable time to visit Christchurch is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Which forecast is most accurate in Christchurch?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Christchurch, scoring 83/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 79. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.