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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

North Shore weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put North Shore's high today between 19° and 22°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 19°, with a 8% chance of rain.

20°10°
19°12°
21°11°
19°12°
18°12°
18°12°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Overcast
Feels 13° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Clear
Feels 11° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 83%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Partly cloudy
Feels 14° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 90%

Latest for North Shore: European (ECMWF): 14° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 14° Partly cloudy.

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North Shore weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

North Shore swings 16°C across the year, from 23°C highs in February to 7°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1224 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
23°C average high
Coldest month
July
7°C average low
Wettest month
July
1224 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
259,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around North Shore and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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North Shore hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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North Shore 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20° 10°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
19° 12°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
18° 12°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 13°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
19° 15°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
17° 12°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 11°
models agree

North Shore, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for North Shore right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down North Shore's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

North Shore weather by month

what to expect in North Shore through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is North Shore's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to North Shore by season.

Jan
22°
16°
Warm
Feb
23°
16°
Warm
Mar
22°
14°
Warm
Apr
20°
14°
Mild
May
17°
11°
Mild
Jun
16°
10°
Mild
Jul
14°
7°
Cool
Wettest
Aug
15°
7°
Mild
Sep
15°
9°
Mild
Oct
17°
10°
Mild
Nov
19°
11°
Mild
Dec
21°
14°
Mild

What North Shore's weather is like through the year

North Shore runs from warm summers, with February highs near 23°C, to cool winters, when July lows sit around 7°C (a swing of about 16°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and North Shore sees roughly 1224 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit North Shore

The most comfortable time to visit North Shore is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.

How the weather around North Shore has changed since 1995

North Shore sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Auckland. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Auckland page.

Which forecast is most accurate in North Shore?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C95±2.6 km/h7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C95±2.7 km/h5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
75
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C97±1.6 km/h4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for North Shore, scoring 82/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 77. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 20°±8%0% to 8% chance
Mon±1°21° to 22°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±3°18° to 20°±6%94% to 100% chance
Wed±3°17° to 19°±32%18% to 50% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in North Shore

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
13h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in North Shore today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put North Shore's high today between 19° and 22°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 19°, with a 8% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in North Shore today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in North Shore on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 8% (European 8%, American 0%, German 3%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for North Shore?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for North Shore (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in North Shore?
February is typically the warmest month in North Shore, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does North Shore get?
The coldest month in North Shore is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does North Shore get?
North Shore sees roughly 1224 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit North Shore?
The most comfortable time to visit North Shore is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Does it snow in North Shore?
Rarely - North Shore very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

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