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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Auckland (AKL) weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Auckland's high today between 19° and 22°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 19°, with a 8% chance of rain.

20°10°
19°12°
21°11°
19°12°
18°12°
18°12°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Overcast
Feels 13° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Clear
Feels 11° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 83%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Partly cloudy
Feels 14° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 90%

Latest for Auckland: European (ECMWF): 14° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 14° Partly cloudy.

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Auckland weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Auckland swings 15°C across the year, from 23°C highs in February to 8°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1196 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
23°C average high
Coldest month
July
8°C average low
Wettest month
July
1196 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
1.5 million
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Auckland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Auckland in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Auckland, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

Auckland hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Auckland 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20° 10°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
19° 12°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
18° 12°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 13°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
19° 15°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
17° 12°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 11°
models agree

Auckland, New Zealand. Often shortened to AKL. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Auckland right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Auckland's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Auckland weather by month

what to expect in Auckland through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Auckland's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Auckland by season.

Jan
22°
17°
Warm
Feb
23°
17°
Warm
Mar
22°
16°
Warm
Apr
20°
15°
Mild
May
17°
12°
Mild
Jun
16°
11°
Mild
Jul
13°
8°
Cool
Wettest
Aug
14°
8°
Cool
Sep
15°
10°
Mild
Oct
16°
11°
Mild
Nov
18°
12°
Mild
Dec
21°
15°
Mild

What Auckland's weather is like through the year

Auckland runs from warm summers, with February highs near 23°C, to cool winters, when July lows sit around 8°C (a swing of about 15°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Auckland sees roughly 1196 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Auckland

The most comfortable time to visit Auckland is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.

How Auckland's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.4°C

Around Auckland, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004. 5 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2022.

1995: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2000: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2007: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2008: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2010: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 25°C

8 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −6 vs the 30-year average1996: +0 vs the 30-year average1997: −6 vs the 30-year average1998: +18 vs the 30-year average1999: +5 vs the 30-year average2000: −9 vs the 30-year average2001: −5 vs the 30-year average2002: −12 vs the 30-year average2003: −13 vs the 30-year average2004: −6 vs the 30-year average2005: −6 vs the 30-year average2006: −5 vs the 30-year average2007: −9 vs the 30-year average2008: −1 vs the 30-year average2009: +1 vs the 30-year average2010: +9 vs the 30-year average2011: +11 vs the 30-year average2012: −13 vs the 30-year average2013: −1 vs the 30-year average2014: −5 vs the 30-year average2015: +2 vs the 30-year average2016: +12 vs the 30-year average2017: −7 vs the 30-year average2018: +11 vs the 30-year average2019: +12 vs the 30-year average2020: +11 vs the 30-year average2021: −1 vs the 30-year average2022: +11 vs the 30-year average2023: −10 vs the 30-year average2024: +8 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−7%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +8% vs the 30-year average1997: +3% vs the 30-year average1998: +6% vs the 30-year average1999: −4% vs the 30-year average2000: +3% vs the 30-year average2001: −1% vs the 30-year average2002: +12% vs the 30-year average2003: −1% vs the 30-year average2004: +8% vs the 30-year average2005: −4% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: −1% vs the 30-year average2008: +3% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −2% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: −8% vs the 30-year average2014: +1% vs the 30-year average2015: −2% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: −6% vs the 30-year average2018: −6% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: −2% vs the 30-year average2021: −6% vs the 30-year average2022: −6% vs the 30-year average2023: +5% vs the 30-year average2024: −6% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >25°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.1°C−6+3%
1996−0.4°C+0+8%
1997−0.6°C−6+3%
1998+0.8°C+18+6%
1999+0.3°C+5−4%
2000±0.0°C−9+3%
2001+0.2°C−5−1%
2002−0.2°C−12+12%
2003−0.1°C−13−1%
2004−0.9°C−6+8%
2005+0.3°C−6−4%
2006−0.6°C−5+1%
2007±0.0°C−9−1%
2008+0.1°C−1+3%
2009−0.5°C+1+1%
2010+0.1°C+9−2%
2011±0.0°C+11+1%
2012−0.5°C−13−1%
2013+0.2°C−1−8%
2014−0.3°C−5+1%
2015−0.2°C+2−2%
2016+0.5°C+12−1%
2017+0.2°C−7−6%
2018+0.4°C+11−6%
2019+0.4°C+12−2%
2020+0.2°C+11−2%
2021+0.4°C−1−6%
2022+0.9°C+11−6%
2023+0.1°C−10+5%
2024+0.2°C+8−6%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Auckland, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Auckland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C95±2.6 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C96±2.2 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
76
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C97±1.6 km/h4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Auckland, scoring 84/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 84. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 20°±8%0% to 8% chance
Mon±1°21° to 22°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±3°18° to 20°±6%94% to 100% chance
Wed±3°17° to 19°±32%18% to 50% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Auckland

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
13h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Auckland today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Auckland's high today between 19° and 22°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 19°, with a 8% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Auckland today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Auckland on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 8% (European 8%, American 0%, German 3%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Auckland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Auckland (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Auckland?
February is typically the warmest month in Auckland, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Auckland get?
The coldest month in Auckland is July, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Auckland get?
Auckland sees roughly 1196 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Auckland?
The most comfortable time to visit Auckland is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Auckland?
Rarely - Auckland very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Auckland getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Auckland, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

More NZ weather