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CheckWeather NZWellington
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Wellington weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Wellington today. Tomorrow looks rain around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain.

14°12°
11°
12°
13°
12°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
Drizzle
Feels 2° · Wind 30 km/h · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Drizzle
Feels 1° · Wind 35 km/h · Humidity 87%
GermanDWD ICON
Light rain
Feels 4° · Wind 23 km/h · Humidity 81%

Latest for Wellington: European (ECMWF): 8° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 8° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 8° Light rain.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Wellington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
14° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
11°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
13°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
13°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
12°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
15° 12°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
14°
models agree

Wellington, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Wellington right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Wellington's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Wellington weather by month

what to expect in Wellington through the year

Here is Wellington's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Wellington by season.

Jan
20°
15°
Mild
Feb
20°
15°
Mild
Mar
18°
13°
Mild
Apr
17°
12°
Mild
Wettest
May
15°
11°
Mild
Jun
13°
Cool
Jul
12°
Cool
Aug
12°
Cool
Sep
14°
10°
Cool
Oct
15°
10°
Mild
Nov
16°
12°
Mild
Dec
18°
14°
Mild

What Wellington's weather is like through the year

Wellington runs from warm summers, with January highs near 20°C, to cool winters, when July lows sit around 8°C (a swing of about 12°C across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and Wellington sees roughly 943 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Wellington

The most comfortable time to visit Wellington is usually January, February, March and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Wellington?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C92±4.1 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C93±3.3 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
79
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C90±5.1 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Wellington, scoring 87/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 86. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°10° to 13°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tue±1°12° to 13°±6%4% to 10% chance
Wed±2°12° to 14°±4%0% to 4% chance
Thu±1°12° to 13°±31%55% to 86% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wellington

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wellington today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Wellington today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wellington today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Wellington and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wellington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wellington (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wellington?
January is typically the warmest month in Wellington, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Wellington get?
The coldest month in Wellington is July, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Wellington get?
Wellington sees roughly 943 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Wellington?
The most comfortable time to visit Wellington is usually January, February, March and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Wellington?
Rarely - Wellington very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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