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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Newtown weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Newtown today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain.

16°13°
16°13°
16°14°
15°11°
16°9°
19°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Clear
Feels 10° · Wind 31 km/h · Humidity 85%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Clear
Feels 10° · Wind 30 km/h · Humidity 86%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Partly cloudy
Feels 11° · Wind 26 km/h · Humidity 89%

Latest for Newtown: European (ECMWF): 14° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 14° Partly cloudy.

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Newtown weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Newtown swings 13°C across the year, from 20°C highs in February to 7°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1278 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
20°C average high
Coldest month
July
7°C average low
Wettest month
July
1278 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Newtown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Newtown hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Newtown 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 14°
models agree
Tue
Rain
15° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 9°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
16° 10°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
16° 13°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 11°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Fri
Clear
18° 10°
±3°

Newtown, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1278 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Newtown right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Newtown climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
19°
14°
Feb
20°
15°
Mar
19°
14°
Apr
17°
12°
May
15°
11°
Jun
12°
8°
Jul
11°
7°
Aug
12°
8°
Sep
13°
9°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
16°
12°
Dec
17°
13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Newtown has changed since 1995

Newtown sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Wellington. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Wellington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Newtown?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C91±4.7 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C96±2.2 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
84
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C92±3.8 km/h7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°±50%0% to 50% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°±38%3% to 41% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±9%91% to 100% chance
Wed±3°15° to 18°±3%6% to 9% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Newtown

today, local time
Sunrise
06:19
Sunset
19:52
Daylight
13h 33m

Common questions

What's the weather in Newtown today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Newtown today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Newtown today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Newtown on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 0% (European 0%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 50%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Newtown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Newtown (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Newtown?
February is typically the warmest month in Newtown, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Newtown get?
The coldest month in Newtown is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Newtown get?
Newtown sees roughly 1278 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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