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CheckWeather NZKarori
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Karori weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 13° in Karori today. Tomorrow looks rain around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

13°11°
10°
11°
12°
11°
13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Rain
Today 13°·Low 11°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Showers
Today 13°·Low 12°·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Showers
Today 14°·Low 12°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Karori and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
13° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
10°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
11°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
12°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
12°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
11°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
14° 11°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
11°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
13°
models agree

Karori, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 943 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Karori right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Karori climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
19°
14°
Feb
19°
14°
Mar
17°
12°
Apr
16°
11°
May
14°
10°
Jun
12°
Jul
11°
Aug
11°
Sep
13°
Oct
14°
Nov
15°
11°
Dec
17°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Karori?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C92±4.1 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C93±3.3 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
79
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C90±5.1 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°13° to 14°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°9° to 12°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tue±1°11° to 12°±6%4% to 10% chance
Wed±2°11° to 13°±4%0% to 4% chance
Thu±1°11° to 12°±31%55% to 86% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Karori

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Karori today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Karori today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Karori today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Karori and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Karori?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Karori (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Karori?
January is typically the warmest month in Karori, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Karori get?
The coldest month in Karori is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Karori get?
Karori sees roughly 943 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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