Dunedin weather
Loading live data…Light rain,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 8° in Dunedin today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 9°, with a 90% chance of rain.
Latest for Dunedin: European (ECMWF): 8° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 6° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 7° Light rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Dunedin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitDunedin, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Dunedin right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Dunedin's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.
Dunedin weather by month
what to expect in Dunedin through the yearHere is Dunedin's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Dunedin by season.
What Dunedin's weather is like through the year
Dunedin runs from warm summers, with January highs near 19°C, to cool winters, when August lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 16°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Dunedin sees roughly 1027 mm of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Dunedin
The most comfortable time to visit Dunedin is usually January, February, March and December, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Which forecast is most accurate in Dunedin?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Dunedin, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 82. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.