Forecast confidence: Medium· models disagree by 3°C
Gore weather
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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Gore's high today between 18° and 21°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 22°, with a 10% chance of rain.
Gore swings 17°C across the year, from 18°C highs in January to 1°C lows in June, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 925 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
January
18°C average high
Coldest month
June
1°C average low
Wettest month
January
925 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
3 months
February, March and December
Residents
13,000
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The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Gore and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Gore hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Gore 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20°10°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22°15°
±2°
Mon
Rain
22°8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12°4°
±2°
Wed
Light rain
15°5°
models agree
Thu
Light snow
11°6°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
12°4°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
19°6°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
20°8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
15°4°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
14°1°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
18°5°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
17°5°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°8°
±7°
Gore, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 1°C), with roughly 925 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Gore right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
18°
8°
Feb
18°
9°
Mar
16°
8°
Apr
14°
6°
May
11°
5°
Jun
8°
1°
Jul
8°
1°
Aug
10°
1°
Sep
13°
4°
Oct
14°
5°
Nov
15°
5°
Dec
17°
8°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Gore's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.8°C
Around Gore, 2015-2024 averaged 0.8°C warmer than 1995-2004. 7 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2023.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
5 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
9 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−7%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.8°C
−8
+22
+2%
1996
−0.6°C
−3
+13
−5%
1997
−0.8°C
−6
+4
+8%
1998
+0.1°C
+8
−4
+12%
1999
+0.6°C
+19
−7
−1%
2000
−0.2°C
−8
−2
+4%
2001
+0.1°C
−8
+0
−3%
2002
−0.2°C
−3
−3
+8%
2003
−0.5°C
−6
+3
+4%
2004
−0.9°C
−8
+6
+6%
2005
+0.4°C
+2
−5
−5%
2006
−0.8°C
−8
+10
+8%
2007
−0.4°C
−4
+17
+2%
2008
±0.0°C
+9
+2
−3%
2009
−0.7°C
−10
+6
+4%
2010
±0.0°C
+1
+1
−1%
2011
−0.3°C
−5
+9
+2%
2012
−0.3°C
−9
−1
−3%
2013
+0.5°C
+7
−12
−5%
2014
−0.1°C
−5
−12
−1%
2015
−0.3°C
+1
+8
+6%
2016
+0.5°C
−3
−2
−3%
2017
+0.3°C
+5
+2
−9%
2018
+0.6°C
+13
−5
−7%
2019
+0.6°C
+1
−18
+4%
2020
+0.3°C
+2
−8
−3%
2021
+0.5°C
−6
−10
−7%
2022
+0.8°C
+8
−4
−11%
2023
+1.0°C
+15
−14
−5%
2024
+0.1°C
−3
−6
−1%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Gore, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Gore?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C
94±2.8 km/h
9597% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C
92±4.0 km/h
7687% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American
70
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C
79±10.6 km/h
5877% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±3°18° to 21°
±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow
±2°21° to 23°
±10%0% to 10% chance
Mon
±1°22° to 22°
±7%93% to 100% chance
Tue
±2°11° to 14°
±27%69% to 96% chance
Wed
±1°15° to 16°
±46%34% to 80% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Gore
today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
20:23
Daylight
13h 49m
Common questions
What's the weather in Gore today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Gore's high today between 18° and 21°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 22°, with a 10% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Gore today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Gore on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 10% (European 10%, American 0%, German 5%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gore?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Gore (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Gore?
January is typically the warmest month in Gore, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Gore get?
The coldest month in Gore is June, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Gore get?
Gore sees roughly 925 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
Is Gore getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Gore, 2015-2024 averaged 0.8°C warmer than 1995-2004.
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