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CheckWeather NZRosedale
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Rosedale weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near in Rosedale today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 10°, with a 10% chance of rain.

10°
11°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°Fridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
Light drizzle
Today ·Low ·Rain 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Light drizzle
Today ·Low ·Rain 49%
GermanDWD ICON
Light rain
Today ·Low ·Rain 68%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Rosedale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
11°
±2°
Wed
Light rain
14°
models agree
Thu
Showers
±2°
Fri
Drizzle
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
16°
±3°
Wed
Light rain
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±2°
Sat
Drizzle
14°
±6°

Rosedale, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1448 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Rosedale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Rosedale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
20°
11°
Feb
18°
10°
Mar
16°
Apr
15°
May
12°
Jun
10°
Jul
10°
Aug
11°
Sep
13°
Oct
14°
Nov
15°
Dec
18°
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rosedale?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C91±4.6 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C94±3.1 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C71±14.4 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree9° to 9°±19%49% to 68% chance
Tomorrow±1°10° to 11°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tue±2°9° to 12°±5%13% to 18% chance
Wed±2°13° to 15°±24%72% to 96% chance
Thu±2°7° to 10°±24%73% to 97% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rosedale

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
18:23
Daylight
11h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rosedale today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Rosedale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rosedale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Rosedale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rosedale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rosedale (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rosedale?
January is typically the warmest month in Rosedale, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Rosedale get?
The coldest month in Rosedale is June, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Rosedale get?
Rosedale sees roughly 1448 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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