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CheckWeather NZInvercargill
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Invercargill weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near in Invercargill today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 10°, with a 10% chance of rain.

10°
11°
14°
10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
Light drizzle
Today ·Low ·Rain 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Light drizzle
Today ·Low ·Rain 49%
GermanDWD ICON
Light rain
Today ·Low ·Rain 68%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Invercargill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
11°
±3°
Wed
Light rain
14°
models agree
Thu
Showers
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
10°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
15°
±4°
Wed
Light rain
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
13°
±6°

Invercargill, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Invercargill right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Invercargill's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Invercargill weather by month

what to expect in Invercargill through the year

Here is Invercargill's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Invercargill by season.

Jan
20°
11°
Mild
Feb
18°
10°
Mild
Mar
16°
Mild
Wettest
Apr
15°
Mild
May
12°
Cool
Jun
10°
Cool
Jul
10°
Cool
Aug
11°
Cool
Sep
13°
Cool
Oct
14°
Cool
Nov
15°
Mild
Dec
18°
10°
Mild

What Invercargill's weather is like through the year

Invercargill runs from warm summers, with January highs near 20°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). March is usually the wettest month, and Invercargill sees roughly 1448 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Invercargill

The most comfortable time to visit Invercargill is usually January, February and December, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Invercargill?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C91±4.6 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C94±3.1 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C82±9.1 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Invercargill, scoring 92/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 83. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°9° to 9°±19%49% to 68% chance
Tomorrow±1°10° to 11°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tue±3°9° to 12°±5%13% to 18% chance
Wed±2°13° to 15°±24%72% to 96% chance
Thu±2°8° to 10°±24%73% to 97% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Invercargill

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
18:23
Daylight
11h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Invercargill today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Invercargill today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Invercargill today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Invercargill and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Invercargill?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Invercargill (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Invercargill?
January is typically the warmest month in Invercargill, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Invercargill get?
The coldest month in Invercargill is June, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Invercargill get?
Invercargill sees roughly 1448 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Invercargill?
The most comfortable time to visit Invercargill is usually January, February and December, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Invercargill?
Rarely - Invercargill very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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