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Every New Zealand forecast, compared
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CheckWeather NZQueenstown
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Queenstown weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Queenstown's high today between and , a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 9°, with a 53% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

11°
11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±2°Fridaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
Drizzle
Today ·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Heavy drizzle
Today ·Low ·Rain 99%
GermanDWD ICON
Light rain
Today ·Low ·Rain 83%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Queenstown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
11°
±2°
Wed
Heavy snow
11°
±5°
Thu
Heavy snow
±2°
Fri
Drizzle
±5°
Sat
Snow showers
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
11°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
11°
±9°
Wed
Light snow
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
-1°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
-1°
±6°
Sat
Rain
11°
±6°

Queenstown, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1585 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Queenstown right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Queenstown climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
13°
Feb
20°
12°
Mar
17°
Apr
15°
May
11°
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
17°
Dec
21°
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Queenstown?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±0.9 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
85
/100rank #2
75±1.4°C86±6.8 km/t9597% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
65±2.0°C95±2.4 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°5° to 9°±17%83% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±5°6° to 10°±53%0% to 53% chance
Tue±2°10° to 12°±12%0% to 12% chance
Wed±5°9° to 14°±14%71% to 85% chance
Thu±2°6° to 8°±8%82% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Queenstown

today, local time
Sunrise
07:04
Sunset
18:22
Daylight
11h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Queenstown today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Queenstown today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Queenstown today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Queenstown and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Queenstown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Queenstown (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Queenstown?
January is typically the warmest month in Queenstown, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Queenstown get?
The coldest month in Queenstown is July, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Queenstown get?
Queenstown sees roughly 1585 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

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