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CheckWeather NZMosgiel
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Mosgiel weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near in Mosgiel today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 9°, with a 87% chance of rain.

12°
16°
11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
Light rain
Today ·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Drizzle
Today ·Low ·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
Light rain
Today ·Low ·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mosgiel and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
16°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
11°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
11°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
18°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
13°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±6°

Mosgiel, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1076 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mosgiel right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Mosgiel climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
21°
12°
Feb
21°
11°
Mar
18°
Apr
16°
May
13°
Jun
11°
Jul
10°
Aug
12°
Sep
14°
Oct
15°
Nov
16°
Dec
19°
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mosgiel?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C95±2.5 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C92±4.2 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
77
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C91±4.4 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°7° to 9°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 10°±72%15% to 87% chance
Tue±1°11° to 12°±10%3% to 13% chance
Wed±1°15° to 17°±38%23% to 61% chance
Thu±2°8° to 10°±24%58% to 82% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mosgiel

today, local time
Sunrise
06:59
Sunset
18:15
Daylight
11h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mosgiel today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mosgiel today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mosgiel today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mosgiel and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mosgiel?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mosgiel (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mosgiel?
January is typically the warmest month in Mosgiel, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Mosgiel get?
The coldest month in Mosgiel is August, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Mosgiel get?
Mosgiel sees roughly 1076 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

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