Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather NZ›Cromwell
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Cromwell weather

Loading live data…

Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Cromwell's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 22°, with a 4% chance of rain.

22°11°
22°11°
21°12°
14°7°
16°6°
13°8°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Partly cloudy
Feels 10° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 74%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Clear
Feels 7° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 77%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Partly cloudy
Feels 11° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 50%

Latest for Cromwell: European (ECMWF): 12° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 15° Partly cloudy.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Cromwell weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cromwell swings 21°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 1°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 438 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
June
1°C average low
Wettest month
December
438 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
5,160
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Cromwell and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Cromwell hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Cromwell 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
22° 11°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 11°
models agree
Mon
Rain
21° 12°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
14° 7°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 6°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
13° 8°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
14° 3°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 7°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
18° 9°
models agree
Mon
Rain
13° 4°
±5°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
12° 3°
±7°
Wed
Partly cloudy
19° 4°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 7°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 10°
models agree

Cromwell, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 1°C), with roughly 438 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Cromwell right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Cromwell climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
22°
11°
Feb
22°
11°
Mar
20°
10°
Apr
16°
7°
May
12°
5°
Jun
7°
1°
Jul
8°
1°
Aug
10°
2°
Sep
13°
4°
Oct
16°
6°
Nov
17°
7°
Dec
20°
10°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Cromwell has changed since 1995

Cromwell sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Alexandra. That square ran 0.9°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Alexandra page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cromwell?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C93±3.6 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
76
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C85±7.3 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
66±1.9°C94±2.9 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
GermanDWD ICON
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 22°±4%0% to 4% chance
Mon±5°19° to 24°±5%95% to 100% chance
Tue±2°13° to 15°±38%62% to 100% chance
Wed±1°15° to 16°±29%50% to 79% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cromwell

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
20:20
Daylight
13h 46m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cromwell today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Cromwell's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 22°, with a 4% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Cromwell today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Cromwell on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 4% (European 4%, American 0%, German 3%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cromwell?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cromwell (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cromwell?
January is typically the warmest month in Cromwell, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Cromwell get?
The coldest month in Cromwell is June, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Cromwell get?
Cromwell sees roughly 438 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More NZ weather