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CheckWeather NZTimaru
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Timaru weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Timaru's high today between and 11°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

10°
10°
11°
16°
10°
16°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±6°
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Light rain
Today 11°·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Showers
Today ·Low ·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
10°
Light rain
Today 10°·Low ·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Timaru and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
10°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
10°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
13°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
14°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
16°
±2°
Tue
Drizzle
18°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
15°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
11°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
16°
±3°

Timaru, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Timaru right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Timaru's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Timaru weather by month

what to expect in Timaru through the year

Here is Timaru's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Timaru by season.

Jan
21°
13°
Mild
Feb
21°
12°
Mild
Mar
19°
Mild
Apr
17°
Mild
May
14°
Cool
Jun
11°
Cool
Jul
11°
Cool
Aug
12°
Cool
Sep
15°
Mild
Oct
16°
Mild
Wettest
Nov
17°
Mild
Dec
20°
11°
Mild

What Timaru's weather is like through the year

Timaru runs from warm summers, with January highs near 21°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 1°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Timaru sees roughly 752 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Timaru

The most comfortable time to visit Timaru is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Timaru?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C94±3.2 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C88±5.9 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C90±4.9 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Timaru, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 84. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°8° to 11°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 10°±37%63% to 100% chance
Tue±1°11° to 11°±5%3% to 8% chance
Wed±1°15° to 16°±9%3% to 12% chance
Thu±4°8° to 12°±31%48% to 79% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Timaru

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
18:12
Daylight
11h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Timaru today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Timaru today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Timaru today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Timaru and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Timaru?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Timaru (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Timaru?
January is typically the warmest month in Timaru, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Timaru get?
The coldest month in Timaru is July, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Timaru get?
Timaru sees roughly 752 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Timaru?
The most comfortable time to visit Timaru is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Timaru?
Rarely - Timaru very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

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