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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Mount Hutt weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Mount Hutt's high today between 6° and 9°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 9°, with a 67% chance of rain.

7°3°
9°3°
12°4°
9°5°
10°4°
11°1°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agreeSaturdaysplit ±3°Sundaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Partly cloudy
Feels 5° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 65%
AmericanNOAA GFS
4°
Light drizzle
Feels 0° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 91%
GermanDWD ICON
9°
Overcast
Feels 5° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 63%

Latest for Mount Hutt: European (ECMWF): 9° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 4° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 9° Overcast.

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Mount Hutt weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mount Hutt swings 18°C across the year, from 10°C highs in January to -8°C lows in July, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 2076 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
10°C average high
Coldest month
July
-8°C average low
Wettest month
October
2076 mm a year
Below freezing
8 months
April, May, June, July, August, September, October and November
Comfortable
Rarely
highs outside 16-26°C

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mount Hutt and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mount Hutt hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mount Hutt 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
7° 3°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
9° 3°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
12° 4°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
9° 5°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
10° 4°
±3°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
11° 1°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
3° 0°
±2°
Tue
Drizzle
10° 1°
±3°
Wed
Rain
8° 3°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
10° 2°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
6° 1°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
11° 0°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
8° 2°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
8° 1°
±6°

Mount Hutt, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 10°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around -8°C), with roughly 2076 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mount Hutt right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Mount Hutt climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
10°
2°
Feb
10°
2°
Mar
9°
0°
Apr
6°
-2°
May
3°
-4°
Jun
-1°
-6°
Jul
-1°
-8°
Aug
-2°
-7°
Sep
1°
-7°
Oct
4°
-5°
Nov
6°
-3°
Dec
8°
0°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Mount Hutt's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.6°C

Around Mount Hutt, 2015-2024 averaged 0.6°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 1999.

1995: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2008: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2010: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2014: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

22 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C

1995: +15 vs the 30-year average1996: +9 vs the 30-year average1997: +26 vs the 30-year average1998: +3 vs the 30-year average1999: −4 vs the 30-year average2000: −4 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: +17 vs the 30-year average2003: +12 vs the 30-year average2004: +25 vs the 30-year average2005: −14 vs the 30-year average2006: +10 vs the 30-year average2007: +2 vs the 30-year average2008: +15 vs the 30-year average2009: +24 vs the 30-year average2010: −4 vs the 30-year average2011: +8 vs the 30-year average2012: −1 vs the 30-year average2013: −19 vs the 30-year average2014: −4 vs the 30-year average2015: +15 vs the 30-year average2016: −12 vs the 30-year average2017: −16 vs the 30-year average2018: −6 vs the 30-year average2019: −3 vs the 30-year average2020: −20 vs the 30-year average2021: −20 vs the 30-year average2022: −25 vs the 30-year average2023: −25 vs the 30-year average2024: −5 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−3%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4% vs the 30-year average1996: −4% vs the 30-year average1997: +4% vs the 30-year average1998: +11% vs the 30-year average1999: −1% vs the 30-year average2000: +4% vs the 30-year average2001: −9% vs the 30-year average2002: +6% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: +6% vs the 30-year average2005: −6% vs the 30-year average2006: +9% vs the 30-year average2007: −4% vs the 30-year average2008: −4% vs the 30-year average2009: +4% vs the 30-year average2010: +1% vs the 30-year average2011: −1% vs the 30-year average2012: −6% vs the 30-year average2013: −1% vs the 30-year average2014: +1% vs the 30-year average2015: +1% vs the 30-year average2016: +1% vs the 30-year average2017: −6% vs the 30-year average2018: −9% vs the 30-year average2019: +6% vs the 30-year average2020: +4% vs the 30-year average2021: +4% vs the 30-year average2022: −9% vs the 30-year average2023: −4% vs the 30-year average2024: +1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.8°C+15+4%
1996−0.8°C+9−4%
1997−0.8°C+26+4%
1998+0.4°C+3+11%
1999+0.6°C−4−1%
2000−0.1°C−4+4%
2001+0.1°C−3−9%
2002−0.4°C+17+6%
2003−0.2°C+12+1%
2004−0.8°C+25+6%
2005+0.4°C−14−6%
2006−0.9°C+10+9%
2007−0.1°C+2−4%
2008±0.0°C+15−4%
2009−0.7°C+24+4%
2010+0.2°C−4+1%
2011−0.4°C+8−1%
2012−0.5°C−1−6%
2013+0.6°C−19−1%
2014±0.0°C−4+1%
2015−0.2°C+15+1%
2016+0.3°C−12+1%
2017+0.2°C−16−6%
2018+0.3°C−6−9%
2019+0.5°C−3+6%
2020+0.4°C−20+4%
2021+0.4°C−20+4%
2022+0.6°C−25−9%
2023+0.6°C−25−4%
2024+0.1°C−5+1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Mount Hutt, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in New Zealand?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C95±2.7 km/h8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C91±4.6 km/h7888% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
81
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C94±3.1 km/h6983% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°6° to 9°±12%88% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°7° to 10°±29%38% to 67% chance
Thu±1°11° to 12°±61%14% to 75% chance
Fri±2°8° to 10°±51%35% to 86% chance
Sat±3°9° to 11°±72%18% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mount Hutt

today, local time
Sunrise
06:14
Sunset
20:21
Daylight
14h 7m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mount Hutt today?
Tuesday 3 November: European, the American and the German model put Mount Hutt's high today between 6° and 9°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 9°, with a 67% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Mount Hutt today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Mount Hutt on Wednesday 4 November: European 67%, American 48%, German 38%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Tuesday 3 November the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mount Hutt?
No single model is always right. European, American, German each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Mount Hutt forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested NZ accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Mount Hutt?
January is typically the warmest month in Mount Hutt, with average highs around 10°C.
How cold does Mount Hutt get?
The coldest month in Mount Hutt is July, when overnight lows average about -8°C.
How much rain does Mount Hutt get?
Mount Hutt sees roughly 2076 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
Is Mount Hutt getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Mount Hutt, 2015-2024 averaged 0.6°C warmer than 1995-2004.

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