Avonhead weather
Loading live data…Drizzle,much the same tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 10° in Avonhead today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 11°, with a 3% chance of rain.
Latest for Avonhead: European (ECMWF): 12° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 11° Overcast.
Avonhead weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsAvonhead swings 19°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 3°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 740 mm of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Avonhead and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitAvonhead, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 3°C), with roughly 740 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Avonhead right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.
Avonhead climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical yearWhich forecast is most accurate in Avonhead?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.