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CheckWeather NZ›Upper Riccarton
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Upper Riccarton weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Upper Riccarton's high today between 25° and 28°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 24°, with a 0% chance of rain.

26°10°
24°9°
24°12°
17°8°
19°4°
19°8°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Clear
Feels 9° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Clear
Feels 7° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 68%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Clear
Feels 11° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 50%

Latest for Upper Riccarton: European (ECMWF): 13° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 13° Clear.

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Upper Riccarton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Upper Riccarton swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 2°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 657 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
July
2°C average low
Wettest month
July
657 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
7,990
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Upper Riccarton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Upper Riccarton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Upper Riccarton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
26° 10°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 9°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
24° 12°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
17° 8°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
19° 4°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 6°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
18° 7°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 7°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 7°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
19° 8°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
18° 10°
models agree

Upper Riccarton, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 2°C), with roughly 657 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Upper Riccarton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Upper Riccarton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
22°
13°
Feb
22°
13°
Mar
20°
11°
Apr
18°
9°
May
14°
6°
Jun
11°
4°
Jul
10°
2°
Aug
12°
3°
Sep
14°
5°
Oct
17°
7°
Nov
18°
9°
Dec
20°
11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Upper Riccarton has changed since 1995

Upper Riccarton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Christchurch. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Christchurch page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Upper Riccarton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C96±1.9 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
68±1.8°C94±3.0 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
73
/100rank #3
67±1.8°C93±3.5 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°25° to 28°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°23° to 24°±90%0% to 90% chance
Tue±3°16° to 18°±55%43% to 98% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°±4%4% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Upper Riccarton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:24
Sunset
20:04
Daylight
13h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Upper Riccarton today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Upper Riccarton's high today between 25° and 28°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 24°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Upper Riccarton today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Upper Riccarton on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 0% (European 0%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Upper Riccarton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Upper Riccarton (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Upper Riccarton?
January is typically the warmest month in Upper Riccarton, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Upper Riccarton get?
The coldest month in Upper Riccarton is July, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Upper Riccarton get?
Upper Riccarton sees roughly 657 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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