Light rain,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Upper Riccarton's high today between 10° and 13°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.
Upper Riccarton, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 3°C), with roughly 719 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Upper Riccarton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.