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CheckWeather NZLincoln
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Lincoln weather

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Drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 10° in Lincoln today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 12°, with a 0% chance of rain.

10°
12°
13°
10°
16°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±4°Saturdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Mainly clear
Feels 8° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Overcast
Feels 9° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 67%
GermanDWD ICON
11°
Overcast
Feels 8° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 67%

Latest for Lincoln: European (ECMWF): 11° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 11° Overcast.

Lincoln weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lincoln swings 18°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 4°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 732 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
July
732 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
9,180
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Lincoln and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
10°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
16°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
16°
±5°
Mon
Mostly clear
16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
17°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
13°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
12°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
15°
models agree

Lincoln, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 732 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Lincoln right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Lincoln climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
14°
Feb
22°
13°
Mar
19°
11°
Apr
17°
May
14°
Jun
12°
Jul
11°
Aug
12°
Sep
15°
Oct
17°
Nov
18°
10°
Dec
21°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lincoln?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C87±6.3 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C91±4.3 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C90±5.2 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree10° to 10°±41%52% to 93% chance
Tomorrow±2°11° to 13°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°12° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Thu±3°8° to 11°±11%85% to 96% chance
Fri±4°14° to 18°±45%10% to 55% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lincoln

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
18:09
Daylight
11h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lincoln today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Lincoln today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lincoln today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Lincoln and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lincoln?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lincoln (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lincoln?
January is typically the warmest month in Lincoln, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Lincoln get?
The coldest month in Lincoln is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Lincoln get?
Lincoln sees roughly 732 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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