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CheckWeather NZWaikowhai
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Waikowhai weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Waikowhai's high today between 10° and 14°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 14°, with a 59% chance of rain.

12°
14°
12°
12°
12°
10°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Light snow
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Showers
Today 10°·Low ·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Showers
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Waikowhai and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
12°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Wed
Heavy snow
12°
models agree
Thu
Heavy snow
12°
±3°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
10°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
11°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Heavy rain
13°
models agree
Wed
Heavy rain
11°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
12°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
12°
±3°
Sat
Heavy rain
13°
±2°

Waikowhai, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 3743 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Waikowhai right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Waikowhai climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
20°
13°
Feb
19°
12°
Mar
17°
10°
Apr
16°
May
14°
Jun
13°
Jul
12°
Aug
12°
Sep
13°
Oct
14°
Nov
16°
Dec
18°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Waikowhai?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
80±1.1°C83±8.3 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
80
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C72±14.2 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
57±2.4°C78±11.0 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°10° to 14°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°13° to 16°±29%30% to 59% chance
Tue±1°12° to 13°±72%3% to 75% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±33%67% to 100% chance
Thu±3°10° to 13°±12%86% to 98% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Waikowhai

today, local time
Sunrise
06:58
Sunset
18:18
Daylight
11h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Waikowhai today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Waikowhai today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Waikowhai today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Waikowhai and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Waikowhai?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Waikowhai (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the European at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Waikowhai?
January is typically the warmest month in Waikowhai, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Waikowhai get?
The coldest month in Waikowhai is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Waikowhai get?
Waikowhai sees roughly 3743 mm of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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