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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Hokitika weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Hokitika's high today between 16° and 19°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 17°, with a 97% chance of rain.

17°13°
17°13°
18°14°
16°14°
18°13°
17°12°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agreeSaturdaysplit ±4°Sundaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Partly cloudy
Feels 14° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 96%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 91%

Latest for Hokitika: European (ECMWF): 16° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 15° Overcast.

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Hokitika weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hokitika swings 16°C across the year, from 19°C highs in January to 3°C lows in July, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 3204 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
19°C average high
Coldest month
July
3°C average low
Wettest month
December
3204 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and March
Residents
3,350
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Hokitika and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hokitika hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hokitika 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
17° 13°
±4°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
17° 13°
±3°
Thu
Showers
18° 14°
±3°
Fri
Rain
16° 14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
18° 13°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
17° 12°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 11°
±2°
Tue
Light rain
18° 13°
±3°
Wed
Light rain
17° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 13°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
15° 12°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
19° 10°
±5°
Sun
Rain
15° 10°
models agree
Mon
Rain
17° 11°
±2°

Hokitika, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 3°C), with roughly 3204 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Hokitika right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Hokitika climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
19°
11°
Feb
19°
12°
Mar
18°
11°
Apr
15°
8°
May
13°
6°
Jun
12°
4°
Jul
11°
3°
Aug
12°
4°
Sep
12°
6°
Oct
13°
6°
Nov
15°
8°
Dec
17°
11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Hokitika has changed since 1995

Hokitika sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Greymouth. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Greymouth page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Hokitika?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.6 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C91±4.7 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
69±1.7°C82±9.1 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°16° to 19°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°15° to 18°±17%80% to 97% chance
Thu±3°17° to 20°±13%79% to 92% chance
Fri±1°16° to 17°models agree100% to 100% chance
Sat±4°16° to 20°±10%76% to 86% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hokitika

today, local time
Sunrise
06:17
Sunset
20:22
Daylight
14h 5m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hokitika today?
Tuesday 3 November: European, the American and the German model put Hokitika's high today between 16° and 19°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 17°, with a 97% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Hokitika today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Hokitika on Wednesday 4 November: every model gives at least 80% (European 97%, American 97%, German 80%). On Tuesday 3 November the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hokitika?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hokitika (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hokitika?
January is typically the warmest month in Hokitika, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Hokitika get?
The coldest month in Hokitika is July, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Hokitika get?
Hokitika sees roughly 3204 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

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