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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Witherlea weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Witherlea's high today between 24° and 27°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 23°, with a 0% chance of rain.

25°11°
23°10°
21°12°
18°10°
19°7°
20°9°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Clear
Feels 9° · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Clear
Feels 8° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 71%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Clear
Feels 14° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 48%

Latest for Witherlea: European (ECMWF): 12° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 16° Clear.

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Witherlea weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Witherlea swings 21°C across the year, from 24°C highs in February to 3°C lows in June, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 888 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
24°C average high
Coldest month
June
3°C average low
Wettest month
July
888 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
6,060
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Witherlea and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Witherlea hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Witherlea 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
25° 11°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21° 12°
±5°
Tue
Light rain
18° 10°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
19° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 9°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
18° 8°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
19° 7°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
19° 9°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
17° 9°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14° 9°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 9°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 8°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
18° 8°
models agree

Witherlea, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 3°C), with roughly 888 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Witherlea right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Witherlea climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
23°
13°
Feb
24°
13°
Mar
22°
11°
Apr
17°
8°
May
16°
6°
Jun
11°
3°
Jul
12°
3°
Aug
14°
4°
Sep
15°
5°
Oct
18°
7°
Nov
20°
10°
Dec
22°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Witherlea has changed since 1995

Witherlea sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Blenheim. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Blenheim page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Witherlea?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C95±2.7 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
75±1.4°C92±4.0 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
82
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C91±4.5 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°24° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±5°19° to 24°±19%0% to 19% chance
Tue±3°16° to 19°±55%45% to 100% chance
Wed±1°19° to 20°±9%6% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Witherlea

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:55
Daylight
13h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Witherlea today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Witherlea's high today between 24° and 27°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 23°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Witherlea today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Witherlea on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 0% (European 0%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Witherlea?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Witherlea (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Witherlea?
February is typically the warmest month in Witherlea, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Witherlea get?
The coldest month in Witherlea is June, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Witherlea get?
Witherlea sees roughly 888 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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