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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Richmond weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Richmond's high today between 22° and 24°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 22°, with a 0% chance of rain.

23°9°
22°10°
22°12°
20°9°
17°7°
18°10°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Clear
Feels 10° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 73%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Clear
Feels 9° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 73%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Clear
Feels 11° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 60%

Latest for Richmond: European (ECMWF): 12° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 13° Clear.

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Richmond weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Richmond swings 18°C across the year, from 22°C highs in February to 4°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1116 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
22°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
June
1116 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
20,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Richmond and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Richmond hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Richmond 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
23° 9°
±2°
Tomorrow
Clear
22° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
20° 9°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 7°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17° 8°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
18° 9°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
18° 8°
±3°
Mon
Light rain
19° 12°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 9°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 9°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
18° 9°
models agree

Richmond, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 1116 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Richmond right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Richmond climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
21°
13°
Feb
22°
13°
Mar
21°
12°
Apr
17°
9°
May
15°
8°
Jun
12°
5°
Jul
12°
4°
Aug
13°
5°
Sep
14°
6°
Oct
16°
8°
Nov
17°
9°
Dec
20°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Richmond has changed since 1995

Richmond sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Nelson. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Nelson page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Richmond?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C92±3.9 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
86
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C92±4.1 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C88±5.9 km/h8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°21° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°21° to 22°±47%0% to 47% chance
Tue±3°18° to 22°±23%77% to 100% chance
Wed±2°16° to 19°±10%6% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Richmond

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:59
Daylight
13h 33m

Common questions

What's the weather in Richmond today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Richmond's high today between 22° and 24°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 22°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Richmond today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Richmond on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 0% (European 0%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Richmond?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Richmond (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Richmond?
February is typically the warmest month in Richmond, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Richmond get?
The coldest month in Richmond is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Richmond get?
Richmond sees roughly 1116 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

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