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CheckWeather NZMotueka
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Motueka weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Motueka's high today between 13° and 16°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain.

14°11°
13°
11°
14°
13°
15°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±2°Fridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
Drizzle
Feels 6° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Light rain
Feels 4° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 95%
GermanDWD ICON
Light rain
Feels 7° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 82%

Latest for Motueka: European (ECMWF): 8° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 6° Light rain · German (DWD ICON): 9° Light rain.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Motueka and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
14° 11°
±4°
Tomorrow
Light rain
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
11°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
14°
±2°
Thu
Light rain
13°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
14°
±3°
Sun
Partly cloudy
15°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
14°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
15°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
14°
±3°

Motueka, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 4°C), with roughly 1078 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Motueka right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Motueka climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
14°
Feb
22°
13°
Mar
20°
11°
Apr
18°
10°
May
15°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
13°
Sep
15°
Oct
17°
Nov
18°
10°
Dec
22°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Motueka?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C94±3.0 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C85±7.3 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C86±7.0 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°13° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°12° to 14°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tue±3°10° to 13°±7%13% to 20% chance
Wed±2°12° to 15°±21%3% to 24% chance
Thu±2°13° to 15°±30%25% to 55% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Motueka

today, local time
Sunrise
06:45
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Motueka today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Motueka today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Motueka today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Motueka and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Motueka?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Motueka (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Motueka?
January is typically the warmest month in Motueka, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Motueka get?
The coldest month in Motueka is August, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Motueka get?
Motueka sees roughly 1078 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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