Skip to main content
Every New Zealand forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather NZStoke
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Stoke weather

Loading live data…

Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 13° in Stoke today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain.

13°10°
13°
11°
13°
13°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Light rain
Today 14°·Low 11°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light rain
Today 13°·Low 10°·Rain 97%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Showers
Today 14°·Low 10°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Stoke and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
13° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
13°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
14°
±2°
Sun
Partly cloudy
14°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
14°
±2°
Fri
Partly cloudy
14°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
14°
±3°

Stoke, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1016 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Stoke right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Stoke climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
14°
Feb
22°
13°
Mar
20°
11°
Apr
18°
10°
May
15°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
13°
Sep
15°
Oct
17°
Nov
18°
10°
Dec
22°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Stoke?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
83±0.9°C90±5.0 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
86
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C91±4.6 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C85±7.3 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°13° to 14°±3%97% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°12° to 14°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tue±1°11° to 12°±17%3% to 20% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±21%3% to 24% chance
Thu±3°12° to 15°±17%35% to 52% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stoke

today, local time
Sunrise
06:45
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stoke today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Stoke today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Stoke today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Stoke and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stoke?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Stoke (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Stoke?
January is typically the warmest month in Stoke, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Stoke get?
The coldest month in Stoke is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Stoke get?
Stoke sees roughly 1016 mm of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More NZ weather