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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Solway weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Solway's high today between 18° and 22°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 20°, with a 1% chance of rain.

20°8°
20°9°
18°9°
17°8°
16°5°
18°9°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 9°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Clear
Today 19°·Low 8°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Fog
Today 22°·Low 8°·Rain 0%
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Solway weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Solway swings 18°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 4°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1323 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
July
1323 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
7,430
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Solway and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Solway hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Solway 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20° 8°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 9°
±4°
Mon
Drizzle
18° 9°
±2°
Tue
Rain
17° 8°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 5°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 9°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
16° 6°
±2°
Sat
Partly cloudy
18° 6°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
17° 8°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
18° 9°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
14° 9°
±6°
Wed
Drizzle
16° 8°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 7°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 5°
±5°

Solway, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 1323 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Solway right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Solway climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
22°
13°
Feb
22°
13°
Mar
20°
11°
Apr
18°
10°
May
15°
7°
Jun
12°
5°
Jul
12°
4°
Aug
13°
4°
Sep
14°
6°
Oct
17°
8°
Nov
18°
10°
Dec
20°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Solway has changed since 1995

Solway sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Masterton. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Masterton page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Solway?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C90±4.8 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C89±5.3 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
76
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C91±4.7 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°18° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°18° to 22°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°17° to 19°±74%0% to 74% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°±17%83% to 100% chance
Wed±2°15° to 17°±31%12% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Solway

today, local time
Sunrise
06:16
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
13h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Solway today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Solway's high today between 18° and 22°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 20°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Solway today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Solway on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 1% (European 1%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Solway?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Solway (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Solway?
January is typically the warmest month in Solway, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Solway get?
The coldest month in Solway is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Solway get?
Solway sees roughly 1323 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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